Works in progress
How Replaceable Is a Low-Wage Job? with Yotam Shem-Tov
Revision requested, Review of Economic Studies; NBER version; non-technical summary
The Effects of Teacher Quality on Adult Criminal Justice Contact with Jonathan Schellenberg and Yotam Shem-Tov
Revision requested, Econometrica; NBER version
The Effects of Job Loss on Crime: Evidence from Administrative Data
Revision in progress
Published and accepted work
Laffer’s Day in Court: The Revenue Effects of Criminal Justice Fees and Fines with Samuel Norris
Accepted, Journal of Public Economics; NBER version
On Recoding Ordered Treatments as Binary Indicators with Yotam Shem-Tov
Forthcoming, The Review of Economics and Statistics
The Impact of Incarceration on Employment, Earnings, and Tax Filing with Andrew Garin, Dmitri Koustas, Carl McPherson, Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, Yotam Shem-Tov, and Jeffrey Weaver
Econometrica, Vol. 93, No. 2 (Mar 2025); online appendix; non-technical summary; related podcast
Family Formation and Crime with Maxim Massenkoff
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, Vol. 16, No. 4 (Oct 2024); NBER version
Coverage: Marginal Revolution, Mother Jones, The Economist
A Discrimination Report Card with Patrick Kline and Christopher Walters
American Economic Review, Vol. 114, No. 8 (Aug 2024); online appendix; DRrank package; arXiv version; NBER version; replication archive
Coverage: NYT
The Effect of Combat Deployments on Veterans’ Outcomes with Jesse Bruhn, Kyle Greenberg, Matthew Gudgeon and Yotam Shem-Tov
Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 132, No. 8 (Aug 2024); NBER version
A Constructivist Perspective on Empirical Discrimination Research
Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 51, No. 3 (Sep 2023); replication archive
Systemic Discrimination Among Large U.S. Employers with Patrick Kline and Christopher Walters
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 137, No. 4 (Nov 2022); online appendix; slides; replication archive; non-technical summary
Coverage: NYT, Marketplace, Here and Now, Econimate
School Discipline and Racial Disparities in Early Adulthood with Miles Davison, Andrew Penner, Emily Penner, Nikolas Pharris-Ciurej, Sonya R. Porter, Yotam Shem-Tov, and Paul Yoo
Educational Researcher, Vol. 51, No. 3 (Apr 2022)
How Does Incarceration Affect Reoffending? Estimating the Dose-Response Function with Yotam Shem-Tov
Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 129, No. 12 (Dec 2021); online appendix; prior JM draft
Adaptive Correspondence Experiments with Hadar Avivi, Patrick Kline, and Christopher Walters
AEA Papers and Proceedings, Vol. 111 (May 2021); slides; replication archive
Who Gets a Second Chance? Effectiveness and Equity in Supervision of Criminal Offenders
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 136, No. 2 (May 2021); online appendix; slides; replication archive
Coverage: Econimate
Does Banning the Box Help Ex-Offenders Get Jobs? Evaluating the Effects of a Prominent Example
Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 39, No. 1 (Jan 2021); online appendix
The Rise and Fall of Female Labor Force Participation During World War II in the United States
The Journal of Economic History, Vol. 78, No. 3 (Sep 2018); online appendix; replication archive